Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

400.67 – 404.35

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

479 – 372

Prediction missed · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 844.9 ±8.7

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 169.96Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 62.45Rank 69Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 168.26Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.6 ±8.7

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 115.23Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 114.66Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 174.46Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1241, 5066, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

400.7 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1241, 5066, 9084

Auto

86.2 21%

Teleop

226.7 56%

Endgame

92.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10015, 7598, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.4 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 10015, 7598, 7407

Auto

36.7 9%

Teleop

219.8 56%

Endgame

138.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score400.7pts

Blue projected score404.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.7
Score range: 326–479
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 851 vs event baseline 418.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

844.9Season APEX635.6

86.2Auto36.7

226.7Teleop219.8

92.7Endgame138.8

125Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	69
teleop	259	203
endgame	128	100
foul	10	0
total	479	372

Result

Final score

479 – 372

Prediction missed · off by 55.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.