Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

289.47 – 340.47

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

425 – 554

Prediction correct · off by 174.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 686.2 ±8.7

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 47.76Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 55.91Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 185.8Rank 13Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 704.3 ±9.9

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 186.62Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 118.84Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 35.01Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5829, 1731, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.5 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 5829, 1731, 103

Auto

32.2 11%

Teleop

196.2 69%

Endgame

57.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2767, 2137, 7525

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.5 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2767, 2137, 7525

Auto

96.8 28%

Teleop

178.0 52%

Endgame

67.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.4 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score289.5pts

Blue projected score340.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51
Score range: 214–415
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 979 vs event baseline 417.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

686.2Season APEX704.3

32.2Auto96.8

196.2Teleop178

57.2Endgame67.6

163Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	109
teleop	242	306
endgame	149	104
foul	10	35
total	425	554

Result

Final score

425 – 554

Prediction correct · off by 174.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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