Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
206.33 – 206.33
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
308 – 518
Prediction missed · off by 206.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 233.3Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183.7Event APEX -Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX -Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 800.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX -Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 148.2Event APEX -Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.9Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1261, 10162, 5801
50
/ 100 compatProjected
206.3 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1261, 10162, 5801
Auto
61.9 30%
Teleop
103.2 50%
Endgame
41.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1114, 5665, 4593
50
/ 100 compatProjected
206.3 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 1114, 5665, 4593
Auto
61.9 30%
Teleop
103.2 50%
Endgame
41.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score206.3pts
Blue projected score206.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 132–280
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
581.1Season APEX800.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 126 |
| teleop | 144 | 223 |
| endgame | 98 | 169 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 308 | 518 |
Result
Final score
308 – 518
Prediction missed · off by 206.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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