Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
757.54 – 343.75
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
519 – 361
Prediction correct · off by 127.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 963.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 300Event APEX 260.89Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 228.79Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 267.86Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 632.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 257Event APEX 141.75Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 165.48Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 36.52Rank 74Record 1-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8608, 5468, 3045
91
/ 100 compatProjected
757.5 pts
~3.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 8608, 5468, 3045
Auto
129.3 17%
Teleop
413.6 55%
Endgame
214.3 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 44%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2960, 4593, 9771
64
/ 100 compatProjected
343.8 pts
~0.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 2960, 4593, 9771
Auto
75.0 24%
Teleop
175.0 55%
Endgame
68.3 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 44%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.12 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score757.5pts
Blue projected score343.8pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 44%, blue 16%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 413.8
- Score range
- 269–833
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
963.5Season APEX632.7
129.3Auto75
413.6Teleop175
214.3Endgame68.3
198Consistency177
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 84 |
| teleop | 318 | 198 |
| endgame | 101 | 79 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 519 | 361 |
Result
Final score
519 – 361
Prediction correct · off by 127.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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