Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
367.17 – 374.74
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
348 – 169
Prediction missed · off by 112.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 742.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 265Event APEX 187.48Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 102.46Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 77.23Rank 22Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 722.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 149.66Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 126.43Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 98.65Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9032, 2881, 6907
62
/ 100 compatProjected
367.2 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 9032, 2881, 6907
Auto
125.3 34%
Teleop
189.9 51%
Endgame
56.3 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 131, 548, 3284
69
/ 100 compatProjected
374.7 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 131, 548, 3284
Auto
73.1 19%
Teleop
210.5 55%
Endgame
98.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score367.2pts
Blue projected score374.7pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 21%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -7.6
- Score range
- 292–450
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
742.9Season APEX722.5
125.3Auto73.1
189.9Teleop210.5
56.3Endgame98.3
145Consistency216
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 18 |
| teleop | 201 | 71 |
| endgame | 96 | 80 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 348 | 169 |
Result
Final score
348 – 169
Prediction missed · off by 112.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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