Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

208.59 – 429.97

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

493 – 520

Prediction correct · off by 187.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 772.6 ±9.3

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 5.37Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 115.13Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 88.09Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 832.7 ±11.1

1511Rolling Thunder

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 97.27Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 112.7Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 220Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2851, 2583, 2847

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2851, 2583, 2847

Auto

69.5 35%

Teleop

85.5 43%

Endgame

44.5 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1511, 9001, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

430 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1511, 9001, 5940

Auto

75.5 18%

Teleop

250.1 59%

Endgame

99.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score208.6pts

Blue projected score430pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -221.4
Score range: 134–505
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1013 vs event baseline 415.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

772.6Season APEX832.7

69.5Auto75.5

85.5Teleop250.1

44.5Endgame99

129Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	107
teleop	273	287
endgame	127	126
foul	5	0
total	493	520

Result

Final score

493 – 520

Prediction correct · off by 187.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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