Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

497.55 – 325.04

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

397 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 57.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 697.4 ±8.7

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 135.49Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 204.13Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 157.93Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 614.9 ±9.9

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 31.99Rank 68Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 131.82Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 161.23Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 548, 1218, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

497.6 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 548, 1218, 3572

Auto

80.1 17%

Teleop

276.8 57%

Endgame

124.9 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 11387, 1868

/ 100 compat

Projected

325 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1648, 11387, 1868

Auto

72.0 23%

Teleop

185.9 60%

Endgame

52.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score497.6pts

Blue projected score325pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 172.5
Score range: 250–573
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 418.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

697.4Season APEX614.9

80.1Auto72

276.8Teleop185.9

124.9Endgame52.3

217Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	64
teleop	229	188
endgame	77	53
foul	0	5
total	397	310

Result

Final score

397 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 57.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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