Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
349.84 – 734.97
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
339 – 630
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 761.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 144.42Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 84.96Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 120.46Rank 67Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 963.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 200Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 286.49Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 248.48Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4403, 9401, 4728
61
/ 100 compatProjected
349.8 pts
~0.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 4403, 9401, 4728
Auto
70.2 21%
Teleop
186.5 56%
Endgame
78.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2767, 3045, 5940
91
/ 100 compatProjected
735 pts
~3.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 2767, 3045, 5940
Auto
209.3 29%
Teleop
380.0 52%
Endgame
141.8 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.84 · Blue 3.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score349.8pts
Blue projected score735pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 43%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -385.1
- Score range
- 276–809
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
761.1Season APEX963.1
70.2Auto209.3
186.5Teleop380
78.2Endgame141.8
107Consistency166
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 120 |
| teleop | 136 | 354 |
| endgame | 124 | 156 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 339 | 630 |
Result
Final score
339 – 630
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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