Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

482.94 – 234.1

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

429 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 111.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 739.4 ±9.9

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 195.37Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 177.1Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 110.47Rank 28Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 647.6 ±8.7

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 82.37Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 104.9Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 46.83Rank 69Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1218, 2539, 1912

/ 100 compat

Projected

482.9 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1218, 2539, 1912

Auto

113.9 24%

Teleop

259.3 55%

Endgame

96.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7598, 2960, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.1 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7598, 2960, 5066

Auto

70.4 30%

Teleop

129.9 56%

Endgame

32.6 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score482.9pts

Blue projected score234.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 248.8
Score range: 160–557
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 833 vs event baseline 410.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

739.4Season APEX647.6

113.9Auto70.4

259.3Teleop129.9

96.8Endgame32.6

202Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	87
teleop	221	199
endgame	90	118
foul	10	0
total	429	404

Result

Final score

429 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 111.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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