Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

320.77 – 411.15

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

374 – 606

Prediction correct · off by 124 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 809.7 ±9.8

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 86.85Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 97.61Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 136.31Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 959.6 ±9.9

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 109.52Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 191.13Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 110.5Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3284, 2137, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.8 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3284, 2137, 6459

Auto

86.8 27%

Teleop

184.4 57%

Endgame

50.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11387, 1114, 1241

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 11387, 1114, 1241

Auto

101.5 24%

Teleop

218.1 51%

Endgame

105.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score320.8pts

Blue projected score411.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.4
Score range: 247–485
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 980 vs event baseline 408.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

809.7Season APEX959.6

86.8Auto101.5

184.4Teleop218.1

50.7Endgame105.5

188Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	126
teleop	183	325
endgame	87	150
foul	0	5
total	374	606

Result

Final score

374 – 606

Prediction correct · off by 124 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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