Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

372.91 – 221.96

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

382 – 369

Prediction correct · off by 78.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 647.6 ±9.3

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 86.76Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 128.2Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 157.95Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 692.2 ±11.1

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 35.39Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 182.19Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 4.38Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7598, 548, 4403

/ 100 compat

Projected

372.9 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7598, 548, 4403

Auto

70.6 19%

Teleop

210.1 57%

Endgame

88.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9001, 971, 11297

/ 100 compat

Projected

222 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 9001, 971, 11297

Auto

62.5 29%

Teleop

122.0 56%

Endgame

32.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.45 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score372.9pts

Blue projected score222pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151
Score range: 148–447
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 751 vs event baseline 410.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

647.6Season APEX692.2

70.6Auto62.5

210.1Teleop122

88.1Endgame32.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	55
teleop	201	199
endgame	125	110
foul	0	5
total	382	369

Result

Final score

382 – 369

Prediction correct · off by 78.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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