Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.74 – 279.69

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

622 – 465

Prediction correct · off by 234.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 918.1 ±8.7

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 109.06Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 148.5Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5468Chaos Theory

A+

Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 80.18Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.6 ±9.3

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 80.18Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 110.93Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 88.58Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 1868, 5468

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.7 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2539, 1868, 5468

Auto

81.6 25%

Teleop

129.3 40%

Endgame

109.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5829, 4403, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.7 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 5829, 4403, 1501

Auto

75.9 28%

Teleop

121.5 45%

Endgame

75.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score337.7pts

Blue projected score279.7pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.1
Score range: 209–409
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1087 vs event baseline 392.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

918.1Season APEX642.6

81.6Auto75.9

129.3Teleop121.5

109.6Endgame75.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	120
teleop	312	307
endgame	217	38
foul	0	0
total	622	465

Result

Final score

622 – 465

Prediction correct · off by 234.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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