Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

442.46 – 326.24

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

729 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 192.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1052.9 ±8.7

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 146.17Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 145.93Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 150.36Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 716.2 ±9.9

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 133.28Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 115.25Rank 49Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 77.71Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3045, 7407, 1114

/ 100 compat

Projected

442.5 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3045, 7407, 1114

Auto

104.4 23%

Teleop

218.7 49%

Endgame

125.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3572, 167, 2851

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.2 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 3572, 167, 2851

Auto

67.1 21%

Teleop

162.1 50%

Endgame

96.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.56 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score442.5pts

Blue projected score326.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.2
Score range: 256–512
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 957 vs event baseline 388.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1052.9Season APEX716.2

104.4Auto67.1

218.7Teleop162.1

125.7Endgame96

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	163	108
teleop	323	40
endgame	238	70
foul	5	10
total	729	228

Result

Final score

729 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 192.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.