Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.62 – 271.27

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.4 ±9.8

587The Hedgehogs

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX -8.46Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 99.7Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 55.38Rank 68Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 650.4 ±10.5

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 55.38Rank 13Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 70.75Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 145.14Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 587, 2847, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.6 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 587, 2847, 1648

Auto

19.9 14%

Teleop

64.7 47%

Endgame

52.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 103, 7525, 3284

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.3 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 103, 7525, 3284

Auto

51.0 20%

Teleop

126.8 48%

Endgame

83.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score146.6pts

Blue projected score271.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.6
Score range: 75–343
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 400.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.4Season APEX650.4

19.9Auto51

64.7Teleop126.8

52.8Endgame83.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	25
teleop	104	163
endgame	6	71
foul	0	0
total	186	259

Result

Final score

186 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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