Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.66 – 325.13

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

396 – 554

Prediction missed · off by 146.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 759.2 ±9.3

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 126.79Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 158.08Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 47.79Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 812.2 ±9.3

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 125.14Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 159.43Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 40.56Rank 40Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 548, 4646, 1731

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 548, 4646, 1731

Auto

51.9 16%

Teleop

129.6 41%

Endgame

137.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4096, 8608, 4272

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.1 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4096, 8608, 4272

Auto

65.3 21%

Teleop

178.4 57%

Endgame

71.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score332.7pts

Blue projected score325.1pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.5
Score range: 254–404
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 950 vs event baseline 396.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

759.2Season APEX812.2

51.9Auto65.3

129.6Teleop178.4

137Endgame71.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	81
teleop	173	359
endgame	158	114
foul	0	0
total	396	554

Result

Final score

396 – 554

Prediction missed · off by 146.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.