Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

577.64 – 474.36

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

478 – 511

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 837.6 ±9.9

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 150.72Rank 49Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 180.53Rank 9Record 8-1-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 246.39Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 840.2 ±8.7

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 135.64Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 227.67Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 111.05Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 167, 2106, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

577.6 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 167, 2106, 10021

Auto

119.5 21%

Teleop

290.5 51%

Endgame

159.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1218, 1241, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

474.4 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1218, 1241, 2881

Auto

100.7 22%

Teleop

247.7 53%

Endgame

118.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.59 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score577.6pts

Blue projected score474.4pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.3
Score range: 394–658
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 989 vs event baseline 444.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

837.6Season APEX840.2

119.5Auto100.7

290.5Teleop247.7

159.4Endgame118.8

138Consistency159

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	121
teleop	256	299
endgame	137	91
foul	0	0
total	478	511

Result

Final score

478 – 511

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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