Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

187.27 – 330.2

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

377 – 429

Prediction correct · off by 144.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.9 ±9.8

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 68.57Rank 67Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 102.57Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 16.13Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 744.3 ±10.5

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 116.33Rank 28Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 160.57Rank 37Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 53.3Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4728, 2075, 1646

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.3 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 4728, 2075, 1646

Auto

38.4 21%

Teleop

82.9 45%

Endgame

61.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1912, 3006, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 1912, 3006, 9032

Auto

75.3 23%

Teleop

174.0 54%

Endgame

74.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score187.3pts

Blue projected score330.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.9
Score range: 116–401
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 806 vs event baseline 395.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.9Season APEX744.3

38.4Auto75.3

82.9Teleop174

61.5Endgame74.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	114
teleop	243	237
endgame	88	78
foul	0	0
total	377	429

Result

Final score

377 – 429

Prediction correct · off by 144.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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