Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

434.27 – 488.36

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

666 – 474

Prediction missed · off by 123 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 943.3 ±8.7

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 135.68Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 155.43Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 143.16Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 789.3 ±9.3

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 183.39Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 148Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 156.97Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9470, 2767, 971

/ 100 compat

Projected

434.3 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9470, 2767, 971

Auto

93.5 22%

Teleop

220.0 51%

Endgame

116.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3476, 4593, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

488.4 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 3476, 4593, 1218

Auto

112.5 23%

Teleop

256.0 53%

Endgame

117.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.74 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score434.3pts

Blue projected score488.4pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.1
Score range: 362–560
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1140 vs event baseline 397.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

943.3Season APEX789.3

93.5Auto112.5

220Teleop256

116Endgame117.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	160	94
teleop	386	221
endgame	120	94
foul	0	65
total	666	474

Result

Final score

666 – 474

Prediction missed · off by 123 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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