Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

260.81 – 350.11

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

302 – 302

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.4 ±8.7

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX -Rank 13Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX -Rank 68Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 124Rank 50Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.2 ±9.3

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 145.14Rank 54Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 136.57Rank 9Record 8-1-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX -Rank 74Record 1-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 103, 1648, 3604

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.8 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 103, 1648, 3604

Auto

73.0 29%

Teleop

117.8 46%

Endgame

64.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9427, 2106, 9771

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.1 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 9427, 2106, 9771

Auto

69.1 20%

Teleop

185.6 53%

Endgame

94.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score260.8pts

Blue projected score350.1pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.3
Score range: 187–424
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 604 vs event baseline 410.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.4Season APEX623.2

32Auto48.6

49.4Teleop151.4

36.9Endgame80.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	70
teleop	161	186
endgame	97	41
foul	15	5
total	302	302

Result

Final score

302 – 302

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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