Qualification · Qualification 125

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

386.03 – 644.33

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

383 – 776

Prediction correct · off by 67.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 712.6 ±9.8

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 39.17Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 152.78Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 194.08Rank 13Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1031.6 ±9.3

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 143.16Rank 37Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 201.78Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 299.39Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8817, 4096, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

386 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 8817, 4096, 103

Auto

42.4 11%

Teleop

222.5 60%

Endgame

109.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3006, 1241, 9470

/ 100 compat

Projected

644.3 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3006, 1241, 9470

Auto

149.0 23%

Teleop

338.0 53%

Endgame

150.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score386pts

Blue projected score644.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -258.3
Score range: 310–720
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1159 vs event baseline 424.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

712.6Season APEX1031.6

42.4Auto149

222.5Teleop338

109Endgame150.3

115Consistency153

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	132
teleop	201	405
endgame	148	229
foul	0	10
total	383	776

Result

Final score

383 – 776

Prediction correct · off by 67.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.