Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
201.23 – 201.23
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
438 – 558
Prediction missed · off by 296.8 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 877 ±10.4
Season APEX 325.3Event APEX -Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.4Event APEX -Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX -Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 798.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 300Event APEX -Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.5Event APEX -Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.4Event APEX -Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6459, 4096, 2847
50
/ 100 compatProjected
201.2 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 6459, 4096, 2847
Auto
60.4 30%
Teleop
100.6 50%
Endgame
40.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8608, 3572, 9401
50
/ 100 compatProjected
201.2 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 8608, 3572, 9401
Auto
60.4 30%
Teleop
100.6 50%
Endgame
40.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.77 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score201.2pts
Blue projected score201.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 41%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 129–273
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
877Season APEX798.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 108 |
| teleop | 235 | 317 |
| endgame | 119 | 133 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 438 | 558 |
Result
Final score
438 – 558
Prediction missed · off by 296.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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