Qualification · Qualification 116

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

176.36 – 474.95

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

273 – 775

Prediction correct · off by 198.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509.3 ±10.5

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 25.14Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 81.46Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 69.76Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 769.3 ±9.3

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 150.76Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 133.64Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 190.55Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11297, 5829, 2826

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.4 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 11297, 5829, 2826

Auto

36.5 22%

Teleop

106.1 63%

Endgame

26.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 3572, 4646

/ 100 compat

Projected

475 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2960, 3572, 4646

Auto

97.2 21%

Teleop

231.9 50%

Endgame

133.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score176.4pts

Blue projected score475pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -298.6
Score range: 99–552
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1048 vs event baseline 425.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509.3Season APEX769.3

36.5Auto97.2

106.1Teleop231.9

26.1Endgame133.3

149Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	147
teleop	132	438
endgame	81	190
foul	5	0
total	273	775

Result

Final score

273 – 775

Prediction correct · off by 198.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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