Qualification · Qualification 114

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

462.24 – 302.79

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

545 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 778.9 ±9.8

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 152.57Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 96.76Rank 22Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 212.91Rank 9Record 8-1-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.9 ±10.5

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 67.95Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 167.82Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 67.02Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4593, 6907, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

462.2 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4593, 6907, 2106

Auto

97.1 22%

Teleop

266.8 60%

Endgame

78.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7598, 6459, 7525

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.8 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 7598, 6459, 7525

Auto

46.8 16%

Teleop

200.1 67%

Endgame

53.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score462.2pts

Blue projected score302.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159.5
Score range: 226–539
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 823 vs event baseline 426.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

778.9Season APEX643.9

97.1Auto46.8

266.8Teleop200.1

78.2Endgame53.3

174Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	41
teleop	262	128
endgame	133	109
foul	20	0
total	545	278

Result

Final score

545 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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