Qualification · Qualification 113

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

473.67 – 368.76

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

522 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 809.3 ±8.8

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 253.14Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5801CTC Inspire

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 97.76Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 122.77Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 753.2 ±10.5

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 150.1Rank 49Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 150.08Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 68.58Rank 67Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 5801, 8884

/ 100 compat

Projected

473.7 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 27, 5801, 8884

Auto

93.4 20%

Teleop

248.2 53%

Endgame

126.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 167, 2137, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.8 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 167, 2137, 4728

Auto

85.2 24%

Teleop

159.2 44%

Endgame

113.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.47 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score473.7pts

Blue projected score368.8pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.9
Score range: 292–551
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 907 vs event baseline 425.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

809.3Season APEX753.2

93.4Auto85.2

248.2Teleop159.2

126.3Endgame113.7

131Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	63
teleop	288	161
endgame	111	161
foul	0	0
total	522	385

Result

Final score

522 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.