Qualification · Qualification 112

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

279.11 – 548.92

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

356 – 578

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612.2 ±9.3

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 138.32Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 36.38Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 104.41Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 865.3 ±9.3

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 141.16Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 193.59Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 214.17Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2583, 8817, 10015

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.1 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2583, 8817, 10015

Auto

57.0 21%

Teleop

172.4 63%

Endgame

46.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4096, 1261, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

548.9 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4096, 1261, 3045

Auto

118.2 22%

Teleop

292.2 54%

Endgame

132.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score279.1pts

Blue projected score548.9pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -269.8
Score range: 202–626
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 934 vs event baseline 425.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612.2Season APEX865.3

57Auto118.2

172.4Teleop292.2

46Endgame132

129Consistency147

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	99
teleop	157	395
endgame	128	84
foul	0	0
total	356	578

Result

Final score

356 – 578

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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