Qualification · Qualification 110

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

391.12 – 538.12

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

217 – 636

Prediction correct · off by 136 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.2 ±9.3

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 164.1Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 52.57Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 174.45Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 802 ±8.7

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 223.86Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 203.18Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 111.08Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1501, 3284, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.1 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 1501, 3284, 9084

Auto

87.1 22%

Teleop

223.4 58%

Endgame

77.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 10021, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

538.1 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 8608, 10021, 5010

Auto

82.5 15%

Teleop

283.7 53%

Endgame

167.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score391.1pts

Blue projected score538.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147
Score range: 314–615
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 853 vs event baseline 426.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.2Season APEX802

87.1Auto82.5

223.4Teleop283.7

77.6Endgame167

124Consistency155

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	133
teleop	132	341
endgame	0	157
foul	5	5
total	217	636

Result

Final score

217 – 636

Prediction correct · off by 136 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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