Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
202.65 – 202.65
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
240 – 508
Prediction missed · off by 171.4 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 761.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 236.2Event APEX -Rank 67Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 295.3Event APEX -Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 229.8Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 790.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 274.2Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX -Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.6Event APEX -Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4728, 9001, 1731
50
/ 100 compatProjected
202.6 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 4728, 9001, 1731
Auto
60.8 30%
Teleop
101.3 50%
Endgame
40.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7407, 2539, 3284
50
/ 100 compatProjected
202.6 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 7407, 2539, 3284
Auto
60.8 30%
Teleop
101.3 50%
Endgame
40.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score202.6pts
Blue projected score202.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 130–276
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
761.3Season APEX790.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 117 |
| teleop | 109 | 269 |
| endgame | 96 | 122 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 240 | 508 |
Result
Final score
240 – 508
Prediction missed · off by 171.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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