Qualification · Qualification 109

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.19 – 210.45

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 817.2 ±9.9

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 139.12Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 76.49Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 211.58Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 621.5 ±8.7

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 101.7Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 17.5Rank 68Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 91.25Rank 69Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9001, 2851, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

427.2 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 9001, 2851, 2767

Auto

97.6 23%

Teleop

216.0 51%

Endgame

107.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5338, 1648, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.5 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5338, 1648, 5066

Auto

48.6 23%

Teleop

99.2 47%

Endgame

64.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score427.2pts

Blue projected score210.5pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 216.7
Score range: 133–504
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 744 vs event baseline 426.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

817.2Season APEX621.5

97.6Auto48.6

216Teleop99.2

107.2Endgame64.3

144Consistency155

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	61
teleop	264	148
endgame	84	113
foul	0	10
total	412	332

Result

Final score

412 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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