Qualification · Qualification 107

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.5 – 224.37

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 167.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.8 ±12.7

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 120.31Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 32.03Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX 9.16Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 617.5 ±9.9

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 58.1Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 71.91Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 94.36Rank 28Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 11297, 10162

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.5 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 11387, 11297, 10162

Auto

52.3 34%

Teleop

106.6 69%

Endgame

-4.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5829, 2881, 1912

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5829, 2881, 1912

Auto

59.0 27%

Teleop

133.0 60%

Endgame

30.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score161.5pts

Blue projected score224.4pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.9
Score range: 85–301
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 426.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.8Season APEX617.5

52.3Auto59

106.6Teleop133

-4.8Endgame30

176Consistency176

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	97
teleop	26	245
endgame	3	103
foul	0	0
total	48	445

Result

Final score

48 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 167.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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