Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

600.18 – 637.2

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

508 – 664

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 884.5 ±9.3

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 151.32Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 154.92Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 293.94Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 950.3 ±8.7

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 250.02Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 199.94Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 187.24Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2583, 4403, 9470

/ 100 compat

Projected

600.2 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2583, 4403, 9470

Auto

133.2 22%

Teleop

331.4 56%

Endgame

128.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 1114, 10021, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

637.2 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 1114, 10021, 9084

Auto

125.0 20%

Teleop

315.0 49%

Endgame

197.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.62 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score600.2pts

Blue projected score637.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37
Score range: 524–713
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1172 vs event baseline 421.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

884.5Season APEX950.3

133.2Auto125

331.4Teleop315

128.7Endgame197

177Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	101
teleop	256	371
endgame	130	182
foul	0	10
total	508	664

Result

Final score

508 – 664

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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