Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

596.75 – 287.84

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

301 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 174.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±11.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 93.06Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 181.32Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 322.37Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.8 ±12.2

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 32.23Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 154.74Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 100.87Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 120, 9401, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

596.8 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 9401, 2481

Auto

110.9 19%

Teleop

337.8 57%

Endgame

147.0 25%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 5740, 1912

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9067, 5740, 1912

Auto

44.8 16%

Teleop

169.7 61%

Endgame

65.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score596.8pts

Blue projected score287.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 308.9
Score range: 251–634
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 207.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

800.7Season APEX531.8

110.9Auto44.8

337.8Teleop169.7

147Endgame65.2

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	26
teleop	177	138
endgame	75	46
foul	0	25
total	301	235

Result

Final score

301 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 174.3 pts

Match videos

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