Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

594.83 – 286.87

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

592 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±11.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 93.06Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 179.91Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 321.86Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.7 ±12.2

3959Mech Tech

Season APEX 147.7Event APEX 116.65Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 71.12Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

744Shark Attack

Season APEX 150.1Event APEX 99.1Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 120, 9401, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

594.8 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 9401, 2481

Auto

110.0 19%

Teleop

332.4 56%

Endgame

151.4 25%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3959, 3492, 744

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.9 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3959, 3492, 744

Auto

41.7 15%

Teleop

172.7 62%

Endgame

64.0 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score594.8pts

Blue projected score286.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 308
Score range: 251–631
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 843 vs event baseline 201.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

800.7Season APEX483.7

110Auto41.7

332.4Teleop172.7

151.4Endgame64

21Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	47
teleop	340	109
endgame	137	90
foul	0	5
total	592	251

Result

Final score

592 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Match videos

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