Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.56 – 273.02

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±11.7

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.8Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 169.05Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 120.71Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.8 ±12.2

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 27.76Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 147.56Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 97.7Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1308, 2638, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1308, 2638, 3966

Auto

57.2 18%

Teleop

185.6 60%

Endgame

68.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 5740, 1912

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9067, 5740, 1912

Auto

43.6 16%

Teleop

157.6 60%

Endgame

63.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score315.6pts

Blue projected score273pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.5
Score range: 235–354
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 706 vs event baseline 213.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535Season APEX531.8

57.2Auto43.6

185.6Teleop157.6

68.6Endgame63.5

42Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	57
teleop	256	129
endgame	78	110
foul	0	0
total	410	296

Result

Final score

410 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Match videos

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