Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

542.69 – 330.02

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

546 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±11.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 74.02Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 164.67Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 304Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±11.7

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 31.06Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 173.38Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 125.58Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 120, 9401, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

542.7 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 9401, 2481

Auto

99.4 18%

Teleop

308.5 57%

Endgame

133.9 25%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1308, 2638, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

330 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1308, 2638, 3966

Auto

60.1 18%

Teleop

194.1 59%

Endgame

74.0 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score542.7pts

Blue projected score330pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 212.7
Score range: 292–581
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 210.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

800.7Season APEX535

99.4Auto60.1

308.5Teleop194.1

133.9Endgame74

2Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	45
teleop	300	143
endgame	131	42
foul	0	15
total	546	245

Result

Final score

546 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.