Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

371.23 – 281.48

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

392 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.8 ±11.7

3984Topper Robotics

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 16.48Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 170.3Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 184.45Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.8 ±12.8

4504B. C. Robotics

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 105.54Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 109.21Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4107Team Storm

Season APEX 105.7Event APEX 66.73Rank 20Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3984, 4020, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3984, 4020, 2783

Auto

66.6 18%

Teleop

201.1 55%

Endgame

95.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4504, 6517, 4107

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4504, 6517, 4107

Auto

46.9 18%

Teleop

153.3 57%

Endgame

66.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score371.2pts

Blue projected score281.5pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.8
Score range: 243–409
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 639 vs event baseline 209.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.8Season APEX454.8

66.6Auto46.9

201.1Teleop153.3

95.8Endgame66.8

49Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	73
teleop	195	104
endgame	130	70
foul	0	0
total	392	247

Result

Final score

392 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Match videos

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