Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.89 – 89.89

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 129.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.1 ±11.7

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX -Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4504B. C. Robotics

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX -Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX -Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.1 ±17

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX -Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6107CyberJagzz

Provisional

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2638, 4504, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2638, 4504, 3966

Auto

27.0 30%

Teleop

44.9 50%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 120, 6107

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3260, 120, 6107

Auto

27.0 30%

Teleop

44.9 50%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.9pts

Blue projected score89.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 58–122
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 179.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.1Season APEX269.1

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	11
teleop	264	46
endgame	31	39
foul	0	0
total	342	96

Result

Final score

342 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 129.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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