Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.63 – 95.63

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 79 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.4 ±16

2973Mad Rockers

Provisional

Season APEX 13Event APEX -Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX -Rank 18Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX -Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.3 ±13.4

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX -Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2973, 3201, 5842

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2973, 3201, 5842

Auto

28.7 30%

Teleop

47.8 50%

Endgame

19.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10137, 7525, 7111

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10137, 7525, 7111

Auto

28.7 30%

Teleop

47.8 50%

Endgame

19.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.6pts

Blue projected score95.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 62–130
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 191.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.4Season APEX375.3

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	33
teleop	16	128
endgame	9	29
foul	0	0
total	32	190

Result

Final score

32 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 79 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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