Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.42 – 289.27

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 99.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.9 ±16.5

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 36.5Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 16Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 13.92Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.4 ±11.7

2556RadioActive Roaches

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 134.73Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX 17.97Rank 31Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 136.57Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5842, 4306, 1308

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5842, 4306, 1308

Auto

5.7 8%

Teleop

40.4 60%

Endgame

21.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2556, 7428, 2393

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.3 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2556, 7428, 2393

Auto

48.4 18%

Teleop

158.3 59%

Endgame

63.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score66.4pts

Blue projected score289.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -222.8
Score range: 29–326
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 205.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.9Season APEX500.4

5.7Auto48.4

40.4Teleop158.3

21.6Endgame63.8

8Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	36
teleop	7	77
endgame	0	19
foul	0	0
total	25	132

Result

Final score

25 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 99.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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