Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.75 – 538.57

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 630

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200 ±17

4504B. C. Robotics

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 106.27Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6107CyberJagzz

Provisional

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -3.6Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 26.08Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 766.1 ±12.4

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 319.05Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 175.09Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5002Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 113Event APEX 44.43Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4504, 6107, 3140

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4504, 6107, 3140

Auto

8.4 7%

Teleop

77.9 66%

Endgame

32.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2481, 2783, 5002

/ 100 compat

Projected

538.6 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2481, 2783, 5002

Auto

109.8 21%

Teleop

301.0 57%

Endgame

120.5 23%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score128.8pts

Blue projected score538.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -409.8
Score range: 92–576
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 730 vs event baseline 203.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200Season APEX766.1

8.4Auto109.8

77.9Teleop301

32.6Endgame120.5

88Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	99
teleop	34	368
endgame	26	158
foul	15	5
total	100	630

Result

Final score

100 – 630

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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