Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

210.26 – 323.02

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 4.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.8 ±13.5

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 69.68Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3959Mech Tech

Season APEX 147.7Event APEX 110.7Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5045SpartaBot

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 29.88Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568.1 ±12.4

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 53.57Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 103.51Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 165.94Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 3959, 5045

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3492, 3959, 5045

Auto

46.6 23%

Teleop

100.6 49%

Endgame

57.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7515, 2393, 4020

/ 100 compat

Projected

323 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7515, 2393, 4020

Auto

67.5 22%

Teleop

172.0 56%

Endgame

68.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score210.3pts

Blue projected score323pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.8
Score range: 171–362
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 218.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.8Season APEX568.1

46.6Auto67.5

100.6Teleop172

57.4Endgame68.3

18Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	71
teleop	105	196
endgame	61	41
foul	10	15
total	219	323

Result

Final score

219 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 4.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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