Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.09 – 184.93

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224 ±18.4

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 71.07Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8624Sasquatch Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 24.24Rank 47Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6107CyberJagzz

Provisional

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 1.78Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.6 ±14.1

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 22.62Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 25.94Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 136.37Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7111, 8624, 6107

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7111, 8624, 6107

Auto

17.5 17%

Teleop

47.7 47%

Endgame

36.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3140, 4265, 2393

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3140, 4265, 2393

Auto

39.3 23%

Teleop

94.2 54%

Endgame

40.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score184.9pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.8
Score range: 60–222
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 204.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224Season APEX360.6

17.5Auto39.3

47.7Teleop94.2

36.6Endgame40.3

76Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	30
teleop	27	117
endgame	21	26
foul	0	20
total	72	193

Result

Final score

72 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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