Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
146.1 – 82.91
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
83 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 47 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.7 ±14.5
Season APEX 112.9Event APEX 24.99Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 22.92Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 98.19Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.9 ±15.6
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 18.2Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 41.52Rank 41Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 23.19Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9153, 10137, 120
49
/ 100 compatProjected
146.1 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 9153, 10137, 120
Auto
25.8 17%
Teleop
83.3 55%
Endgame
41.8 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5045, 10961, 538
40
/ 100 compatProjected
82.9 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 5045, 10961, 538
Auto
13.9 19%
Teleop
40.1 54%
Endgame
20.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score146.1pts
Blue projected score82.9pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 63.2
- Score range
- 46–183
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.7Season APEX254.9
25.8Auto13.9
83.3Teleop40.1
41.8Endgame20.7
0Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 19 |
| teleop | 37 | 31 |
| endgame | 21 | 2 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 52 |
Result
Final score
83 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 47 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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