Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.32 – 56.71

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.6 ±12.8

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 79.65Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX 26.03Rank 31Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4504B. C. Robotics

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 114.64Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±15

3984Topper Robotics

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 5.92Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 19.72Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4150FRobotics

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 31.07Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 7428, 4504

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3492, 7428, 4504

Auto

32.1 16%

Teleop

128.6 64%

Endgame

39.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3984, 3260, 4150

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3984, 3260, 4150

Auto

20.9 38%

Teleop

22.4 41%

Endgame

11.9 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score220.3pts

Blue projected score56.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163.6
Score range: 19–258
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 208.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.6Season APEX212.2

32.1Auto20.9

128.6Teleop22.4

39.1Endgame11.9

77Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	24
teleop	80	33
endgame	51	10
foul	0	0
total	155	67

Result

Final score

155 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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