Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.37 – 128.87

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 185

Prediction missed · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349 ±16.6

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 44.67Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 41.32Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

11037Clarksville Cyber Storm

Provisional

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 65.38Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.7 ±16.6

744Shark Attack

Season APEX 150.1Event APEX 74.55Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5002Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 113Event APEX 41.54Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 12.78Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7525, 7515, 11037

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7525, 7515, 11037

Auto

39.0 28%

Teleop

92.2 66%

Endgame

8.1 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 744, 5002, 4306

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 744, 5002, 4306

Auto

8.9 8%

Teleop

92.1 80%

Endgame

14.0 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.4pts

Blue projected score128.9pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.5
Score range: 91–189
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 209.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349Season APEX320.7

39Auto8.9

92.2Teleop92.1

8.1Endgame14

25Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	25
teleop	69	111
endgame	58	49
foul	0	0
total	155	185

Result

Final score

155 – 185

Prediction missed · off by 29.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.