Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
394.29 – 147.31
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
376 – 224
Prediction correct · off by 47.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±13.5
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 18.43Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 378Event APEX 317.9Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 57.96Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.2 ±15.6
Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 3.37Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 163.76Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2973Mad Rockers
Provisional
Season APEX 13Event APEX -19.82Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1308, 2481, 11173
84
/ 100 compatProjected
394.3 pts
~2.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 1308, 2481, 11173
Auto
74.1 19%
Teleop
231.2 60%
Endgame
77.5 20%
Strengths
- · 2481 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5492, 2638, 2973
57
/ 100 compatProjected
147.3 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 5492, 2638, 2973
Auto
35.3 23%
Teleop
83.2 55%
Endgame
33.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score394.3pts
Blue projected score147.3pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 247
- Score range
- 110–431
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
589.1Season APEX329.2
74.1Auto35.3
231.2Teleop83.2
77.5Endgame33.7
94Consistency122
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 93 | 47 |
| teleop | 152 | 66 |
| endgame | 131 | 81 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 376 | 224 |
Result
Final score
376 – 224
Prediction correct · off by 47.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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