Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

294.4 – 73.83

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

396 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.8 ±11.7

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 84.8Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 122.85Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 86.75Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±18.8

11037Clarksville Cyber Storm

Provisional

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 67.37Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3984Topper Robotics

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 21.13Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2973Mad Rockers

Provisional

Season APEX 13Event APEX -14.67Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6517, 2393, 120

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.4 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6517, 2393, 120

Auto

36.8 14%

Teleop

156.4 59%

Endgame

70.0 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11037, 3984, 2973

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.8 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 11037, 3984, 2973

Auto

30.2 44%

Teleop

23.2 34%

Endgame

15.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score294.4pts

Blue projected score73.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.6
Score range: 37–331
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 204.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.8Season APEX148.8

36.8Auto30.2

156.4Teleop23.2

70Endgame15

57Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	17
teleop	231	14
endgame	108	12
foul	0	0
total	396	43

Result

Final score

396 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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