Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

527.48 – 162.53

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

543 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 840.3 ±10.4

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 145.07Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 276.34Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 106.07Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.7 ±14.5

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 38.58Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

34Rockets

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 28.85Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3959Mech Tech

Season APEX 147.7Event APEX 95.1Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9401, 2481, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

527.5 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9401, 2481, 3492

Auto

104.4 20%

Teleop

325.3 61%

Endgame

101.7 19%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1308, 34, 3959

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1308, 34, 3959

Auto

31.7 21%

Teleop

82.2 55%

Endgame

36.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.82 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score527.5pts

Blue projected score162.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 365
Score range: 127–563
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 737 vs event baseline 201.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

840.3Season APEX327.7

104.4Auto31.7

325.3Teleop82.2

101.7Endgame36.4

105Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	27
teleop	283	88
endgame	143	79
foul	0	0
total	543	194

Result

Final score

543 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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