Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.36 – 129

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.7 ±12.9

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 42.88Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 156.38Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

744Shark Attack

Season APEX 150.1Event APEX 51.1Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.4 ±15.6

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 57.21Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4107Team Storm

Season APEX 105.7Event APEX 43.23Rank 20Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 28.56Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10137, 2783, 744

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10137, 2783, 744

Auto

31.5 13%

Teleop

163.2 65%

Endgame

57.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 4107, 4306

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9067, 4107, 4306

Auto

26.9 19%

Teleop

89.2 62%

Endgame

27.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score250.4pts

Blue projected score129pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.4
Score range: 93–286
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 201.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.7Season APEX339.4

31.5Auto26.9

163.2Teleop89.2

57.2Endgame27.4

64Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	15
teleop	211	70
endgame	87	23
foul	5	0
total	348	108

Result

Final score

348 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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