Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.51 – 105.73

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.2 ±17

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 30.39Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 3.54Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3984Topper Robotics

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 21.58Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.7 ±14.5

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 63.1Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9153Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 112.9Event APEX 19.63Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 23Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4306, 3140, 3984

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4306, 3140, 3984

Auto

7.9 14%

Teleop

24.4 43%

Endgame

24.7 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11173, 9153, 5842

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11173, 9153, 5842

Auto

2.7 3%

Teleop

52.0 61%

Endgame

31.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.5pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.2
Score range: 20–142
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 201.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.2Season APEX321.7

7.9Auto2.7

24.4Teleop52

24.7Endgame31

114Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	27
teleop	12	114
endgame	28	29
foul	0	25
total	64	195

Result

Final score

64 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.