Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.47 – 220.56

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.7 ±12.8

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 46.9Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX -7.84Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX -0.59Rank 31Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.7 ±12.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 108.21Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 87.52Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 24.83Rank 18Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9067, 1308, 7428

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9067, 1308, 7428

Auto

17.9 32%

Teleop

49.3 89%

Endgame

-11.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 120, 1912, 3201

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 1912, 3201

Auto

27.7 14%

Teleop

101.0 51%

Endgame

70.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38.5pts

Blue projected score220.6pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.1
Score range: 2–257
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 202.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.7Season APEX482.7

17.9Auto27.7

49.3Teleop101

-11.5Endgame70.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	17
teleop	73	166
endgame	14	85
foul	5	0
total	115	268

Result

Final score

115 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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